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Page 2

From: Three Fertility Compromises and Two Transitions

  First compromise First transition Second compromise Second transition Third compromise
USA Until 1861 1863–1933 1934–1958 1959–1984 1985+
Australia Until 1885 1886–1934 1935–1961 1962–1984 1985+
New Zealand Until 1880 1881–1935 1936–1961 1962–1977 1978+
England and Wales Until 1876 1877–1933 1934–1962 1963–1989 1990+
Sweden Until 1874 1875–1934 1935–1964 1965–1994 1995+
Denmark Until 1884 1885–1933 1934–1965 1966–1983 1984+
Netherlands Until 1901 1902–1937 1938b 1983 1984+
Belgium Until 1874 1875–1937 1938–1959 1960–1985 1986+
Francec Until 1859 1860–1938 1939b 1993 1994+
Germanyd (West Germany) Until 1876 1877–1932 1933–1963 1964–1978 1979+
Austria Until 1876 1877–1937 1934–1963 1964–1987 1988+

  1. Notes: Turning point only. In almost all cases identical with TFR turning point
  2. a1939–1949 omitted
  3. bContinuing slow fall so no end of the Second Compromise can be identified
  4. cThe second half of France’s transition
  5. dWhen Germany divided, West German figures employed
  6. Source: Mitchell 1998a, 1998b, 2003

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