One popular way to study probability is to roll dice. A standard die has six sides printed with little dots numbering 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. If the die is fair (and we will assume that all of them are), then each of these outcomes is equally likely. Since there are six possible outcomes, the probability of obtaining any side of the die is 1/6. The probability of rolling a 1 is 1/6, the probability of rolling a 2 is 1/6, and so on. But what happens if we add another die? What are the probabilities for rolling two dice? Show
To correctly determine the probability of a dice roll, we need to know two things:
In probability, an event is a certain subset of the sample space. For example, when only one die is rolled, as in the example above, the sample space is equal to all of the values on the die, or the set (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). Since the die is fair, each number in the set occurs only once. In other words, the frequency of each number is 1. To determine the probability of rolling any one of the numbers on the die, we divide the event frequency (1) by the size of the sample space (6), resulting in a probability of 1/6. Rolling two fair dice more than doubles the difficulty of calculating probabilities. This is because rolling one die is independent of rolling a second one. One roll has no effect on the other. When dealing with independent events we use the multiplication rule. The use of a tree diagram demonstrates that there are 6 x 6 = 36 possible outcomes from rolling two dice. Suppose that the first die we roll comes up as a 1. The other die roll could be a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. Now suppose that the first die is a 2. The other die roll again could be a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. We have already found 12 potential outcomes, and have yet to exhaust all of the possibilities of the first die. The possible outcomes of rolling two dice are represented in the table below. Note that the number of total possible outcomes is equal to the sample space of the first die (6) multiplied by the sample space of the second die (6), which is 36.
The same principle applies if we are working on problems involving three dice. We multiply and see that there are 6 x 6 x 6 = 216 possible outcomes. As it gets cumbersome to write the repeated multiplication, we can use exponents to simplify work. For two dice, there are 62 possible outcomes. For three dice, there are 63 possible outcomes. In general, if we roll n dice, then there are a total of 6n possible outcomes. With this knowledge, we can solve all sorts of probability problems: 1. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two dice is seven? The easiest way to solve this problem is to consult the table above. You will notice that in each row there is one dice roll where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven. Since there are six rows, there are six possible outcomes where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven. The number of total possible outcomes remains 36. Again, we find the probability by dividing the event frequency (6) by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 1/6. 2. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two dice is three? In the previous problem, you may have noticed that the cells where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven form a diagonal. The same is true here, except in this case there are only two cells where the sum of the dice is three. That is because there are only two ways to get this outcome. You must roll a 1 and a 2 or you must roll a 2 and a 1. The combinations for rolling a sum of seven are much greater (1 and 6, 2 and 5, 3 and 4, and so on). To find the probability that the sum of the two dice is three, we can divide the event frequency (2) by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 1/18. 3. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the numbers on the dice are different? Again, we can easily solve this problem by consulting the table above. You will notice that the cells where the numbers on the dice are the same form a diagonal. There are only six of them, and once we cross them out we have the remaining cells in which the numbers on the dice are different. We can take the number of combinations (30) and divide it by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 5/6.
Contents: Watch the video for three examples: Probability: Dice Rolling Examples Watch this video on YouTube. Can’t see the video? Click here. Need help with a homework question? Check out our tutoring page! Dice roll probability: 6 Sided Dice ExampleIt’s very common to find questions about dice rolling in probability and statistics. You might be asked the probability of rolling a variety of results for a 6 Sided Dice: five and a seven, a double twelve, or a double-six. While you *could* technically use a formula or two (like a combinations formula), you really have to understand each number that goes into the formula; and that’s not always simple. By far the easiest (visual) way to solve these types of problems (ones that involve finding the probability of rolling a certain combination or set of numbers) is by writing out a sample space. Dice Roll Probability for 6 Sided Dice: Sample SpacesA sample space is just the set of all possible results. In simple terms, you have to figure out every possibility for what might happen. With dice rolling, your sample space is going to be every possible dice roll. Example question: What is the probability of rolling a 4 or 7 for two 6 sided dice? In order to know what the odds are of rolling a 4 or a 7 from a set of two dice, you first need to find out all the possible combinations. You could roll a double one [1][1], or a one and a two [1][2]. In fact, there are 36 possible combinations. Dice Rolling Probability: StepsStep 1: Write out your sample space (i.e. all of the possible results). For two dice, the 36 different possibilities are: [1][1], [1][2], [1][3], [1][4], [1][5], [1][6], [2][1], [2][2], [2][3], [2][4], [2][5], [2][6], [3][1], [3][2], [3][3], [3][4], [3][5], [3][6], [4][1], [4][2], [4][3], [4][4], [4][5], [4][6], [5][1], [5][2], [5][3], [5][4], [5][5], [5][6], [6][1], [6][2], [6][3], [6][4], [6][5], [6][6]. Step 2: Look at your sample space and find how many add up to 4 or 7 (because we’re looking for the probability of rolling one of those numbers). The rolls that add up to 4 or 7 are in bold: [1][1], [1][2], [1][3], [1][4], [1][5], [1][6], There are 9 possible combinations. Step 3: Take the answer from step 2, and divide it by the size of your total sample space from step 1. What I mean by the “size of your sample space” is just all of the possible combinations you listed. In this case, Step 1 had 36 possibilities, so: 9 / 36 = .25 You’re done! Two (6-sided) dice roll probability tableThe following table shows the probabilities for rolling a certain number with a two-dice roll. If you want the probabilities of rolling a set of numbers (e.g. a 4 and 7, or 5 and 6), add the probabilities from the table together. For example, if you wanted to know the probability of rolling a 4, or a 7:
Probability of rolling a certain number or less for two 6-sided dice.
Dice Roll Probability TablesContents: Probability of a certain number with a Single Die.
Probability of rolling a certain number or less with one die.
Probability of rolling less than certain number with one die.
Probability of rolling a certain number or more.
Probability of rolling more than a certain number (e.g. roll more than a 5).
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Visit out our statistics YouTube channel for hundreds of probability and statistics help videos! ReferencesDodge, Y. (2008). The Concise Encyclopedia of Statistics. Springer.
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